Political Expert — Elections Forecasting & Political Risk
About the work We are building expert-authored forecasting and research data used to evaluate and improve AI models on real political and financial analysis.
- Pay
- Firm hourly pay: $150-$250 per hour
- Location
- Remote
- Eligibility
- Remote, applicant location not specified
- Qualification difficulty
- Selective
How current is this information?
The public role and application path were checked. Details can still change; this is not an endorsement or guarantee.
- Platform
- Mercor
- Fit category
- General professional
- Listing/source checked
- Sep 15, 2026
- Inventory presence checked
- Sep 28, 2026
- Apply link checked
- Sep 15, 2026
Application
Continue to the current Mercor listing
Apply on MercorOpens the current Mercor page in a new tab. This may be a referral link, and Specialist AI Work may be paid if the platform credits it. That does not change the role's advertised pay or how roles are ordered here.
What this role involves
About the work We are building expert-authored forecasting and research data used to evaluate and improve AI models on real political and financial analysis. Each task asks a practitioner to reason from a fixed evidence cutoff — no hindsight — and document the judgment a strong analyst would have made at that moment. This role covers political report authorship: elections, polling, and political-risk events.
What you will do Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard Who we are looking for A senior elections forecaster, campaign strategist, polling or statistical-methodology expert, or political-risk analyst A record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds — not retrospective commentary Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis Typically 8+ years of direct experience, or unusually strong evidence of equivalent performance Backgrounds we look at first: top national polling and election-forecasting organizations, major decision desks, senior analytics teams from presidential, Senate or governor races, and political-risk desks at leading banks, funds, or firms such as Eurasia Group and EIU.
Brand-name experience is a strong first-pass signal but is not a hard requirement — direct experience and performance on the work sample determine who qualifies. Not a fit Pure communications, journalism, or academic profiles without demonstrated forecasting, polling, or probabilistic judgment. Point-in-time discipline Every task is graded on reasoning from the stated cutoff without hindsight, data leakage, confidential information, or material non-public information.
Before you apply
Review the main fit signals and unresolved details before opening the platform.
Why it may fit
- Professionals whose experience matches the current Political Expert — Elections Forecasting & Political Risk requirements.
- Applicants comfortable completing Mercor's role-specific assessment.
Check before applying
Reasons to pause
- You cannot meet the listing's stated remote or location eligibility.
- You need guaranteed acceptance, hours, or project duration.
Still to verify
- Review the official Mercor listing before applying. Requirements, screening, pay, hours, and project availability can change.
- The reviewed listing had limited public detail; check the current platform page for the full requirements.
- Applicant eligibility still needs checking: Remote, applicant location not specified.
What to prepare
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Application tips
- Complete Mercor's role-specific application or assessment carefully.
- Review the current Mercor listing and its eligibility details before applying.